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predict(DSTS, n.ahead=50)

Two-day meeting 2021

Claus Thorn Ekstrøm
UCPH Biostatistics

November 18th, 2021

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"I am a statistician"

-- Tue Tjur, DSTS 25 years meeting

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"We need to talk"

-- Your significant other

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Let's talk about the difficult questions

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Statisticians are really not good at this.

What do we so ... we solve another problem that is not the right one. P-value

It will hurt ... there might be tears ... and in the end ... there will be dinner

Why are we in this relationship?

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Are we happy?

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What's in it for me?

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What is our role in society?

[ What do we even mean by society? ]

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Are we happy with the direction that we're going?

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Are we making an effort?

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Should we be seeing other people?

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Let's talk about death!

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What is DSTS?

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Regular business

  • Two-day meeting
  • Xmas lecture
  • General assembly + lecture
  • SJS

Assets

  • Mailing list
  • Bunch of money
  • YSD
  • The members

Is DSTS just a rich uncle?

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Hvordan hyret til dette?

Hvem planlægger

Opringning

Particular type of member









Mostly just LOCF?

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What characterizes a statistician?

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"Statistics is the method for translating data into an interpretation of how the world works."

-- Susanne Ditlevsen, last year, P1

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"Anyone can produce an estimate. What we can do is to figure out the uncertainty of that estimate."

-- Ernst Hansen, Some lecture

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A statistician is someone who can

  1. differentiate a function and set it equal to zero.
  2. determine the asymptotical behaviour of a function.
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A statistician is someone who can

  1. differentiate a function and set it equal to zero.
  2. determine the asymptotical behaviour of a function.

Propositon 1: A statistician is a person that converges towards a grumpy old man as age infinity.

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A statistician is someone who can

  1. differentiate a function and set it equal to zero.
  2. determine the asymptotical behaviour of a function.

Propositon 1: A statistician is a person that converges towards a grumpy old man as age infinity.

Corollary 1: This result holds regardless of gender.
Also, the asymptotics kick in rather quickly.

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This is us

Sidde ovre i hjørnet ... gøre grin med de andre ...

Data scientists, computer scientists, bioinformaticians, chemometricians, ...

Dangerous

we are isolating ourselves ... that is a major problem.

Not saying that we are not right ... we should be inclusive

The way to convince others is not to ridicule them but to embrace them and give them the opportunity to learn.

Not police

Data science at all the universities

How do we secure an influx of young people?

YSD

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What's the point of being a member?

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What's in it for me?

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What are the benefits of DSTS?

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Are we making an effort?

(Are we attractive?)

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Why would people want to join?




"What do you think of DSTS?"

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"What do you think of DSTS?"

"What is DSTS?"

-- A couple of stats students

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"If I should ever name a swinger club I would put 'Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics' on the door. I would NEVER get any unexpected visitors. Probably not even the tax authorities."

-- Team leader, Danish Medicines Council



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"If I should ever name a swinger club I would put 'Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics' on the door. I would NEVER get any unexpected visitors. Probably not even the tax authorities."

-- Team leader, Danish Medicines Council



"In fact ... now that I think about it I don't want to know what goes on at those two-day meetings."

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predict(DSTS, n.ahead=50)

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What should we do?

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Keep the meetings!

  • Seminars
  • Courses
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Århus

What's in a name?

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Start making babies

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See other people - start outreach program

  • General public
  • Journalists
  • High school - teacher and students
  • DSBS, Anvendt statistik
  • Data science communities
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How? Use the money

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In the end ...

Apologies if we've spend too much time on this.

It's because I still love you.

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In the end ...

Apologies if we've spend too much time on this.

It's because I still love you.

And really ... can a statistician analyse things too much?

Hope that DSTS is still going strong at 100

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